5-5, 3.87 ERA
4-1, 1.90 ERA
| Model fair | DraftKings | Polymarket | Kalshi | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL ML | +153 | +145 | +153 | +160 |
| LAD ML | -153 | -176 | -153 | -160 |
| LAD -1.5 | +126 | +122 | — | — |
| Model | Model fair | Kalshi | Kalshi odds | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL leads | 28.9% | +246 | 32.0% | +212 | -3.1pp |
| Tied | 17.0% | +488 | 16.3% | +515 | +0.7pp |
| LAD leads | 54.1% | -118 | 51.7% | -107 | +2.4pp |
Why the Dodgers. Blake Snell's arsenal plays well against how this Brewers lineup has handled similar pitch mixes. The edge on the mound belongs to the Dodgers: Blake Snell (1.90 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 55 K) has been the better arm than Robert Gasser (3.87 ERA, 1.19 WHIP). How the two bullpens line up tonight favors the Dodgers, with the arms they're likely to use in good shape.
The case for the Brewers. The Brewers' lineup sets up well for this matchup, with its contact and plate discipline playing up tonight.
Notes. Milwaukee Brewers note — Aaron Ashby: Ashby struck out two without allowing a baserunner in 1.2 scoreless innings to earn the save in Game 2 of the NLCS against the Dodgers on Monday. Los Angeles Dodgers note — Shohei Ohtani: Manager Dave Roberts said Tuesday that Ohtani will be in the lineup for Game 3 of the NLCS against Milwaukee on Wednesday, Jack Harris of the California Post reports. Los Angeles Dodgers' starter has looked flatter lately — getting hit harder over his last 3 starts (26.3% called-strike+whiff rate, vs. 30.5% on the season). William Contreras is running hot over his last 10 games, batting .324 — .450 wOBA vs. a .374 season mark. Will Smith is running cold over his last 10 games, batting .194 — .255 wOBA vs. a .362 season mark. Teoscar Hernández is running cold over his last 10 games, batting .194 — .275 wOBA vs. a .397 season mark.
| Pitcher | ERA | WHIP | SO | G | SV | Last pitched |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Senzatela | 4.05 | 1.35 | 60 | 57 | 4 | 7d ago |
| DL Hall | 1.91 | 1.04 | 64 | 47 | 0 | 3d ago |
| JoJo Romero | 3.36 | 1.22 | 54 | 55 | 0 | 2d ago |
| Chad Patrick | 3.40 | 1.24 | 93 | 57 | 6 | 17d ago |
| Trevor Megill | 2.63 | 0.89 | 69 | 63 | 30 | 3d ago |
| Kyle Harrison | 4.20 | 1.35 | 141 | 28 | 0 | 18d ago |
| Abner Uribe | 1.97 | 1.03 | 62 | 61 | 6 | 2d ago |
| Shane Drohan | 4.19 | 1.32 | 125 | 33 | 2 | 17d ago |
| Dustin May | 4.70 | 1.32 | 144 | 31 | 0 | 2d ago |
| Aaron Ashby | 3.12 | 1.31 | 116 | 75 | 4 | 2d ago |
| Jacob Misiorowski | 1.80 | 0.80 | 252 | 30 | 0 | 3d ago |
| Logan Henderson | 2.47 | 0.84 | 110 | 18 | 0 | 2d ago |
| Pitcher | ERA | WHIP | SO | G | SV | Last pitched |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edwin Díaz | 8.68 | 1.98 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 7d ago |
| Alex Vesia | 2.64 | 1.07 | 74 | 72 | 3 | 2d ago |
| Evan Phillips | 3.46 | 1.08 | 33 | 31 | 1 | 3d ago |
| Brock Stewart | 2.70 | 1.01 | 25 | 28 | 1 | 2d ago |
| Edgardo Henriquez | 2.85 | 1.03 | 71 | 61 | 2 | 2d ago |
| Justin Wrobleski | 3.66 | 1.14 | 118 | 28 | 0 | 2d ago |
| Tanner Scott | 2.69 | 0.99 | 82 | 69 | 25 | 2d ago |
| Roki Sasaki | 4.49 | 1.32 | 123 | 26 | 0 | 2d ago |
| Kris Bubic | 3.76 | 1.20 | 56 | 14 | 0 | 2d ago |
| Tyler Glasnow | 3.53 | 0.95 | 98 | 13 | 0 | 7d ago |
| Tarik Skubal | 2.72 | 0.96 | 186 | 26 | 0 | 3d ago |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 2.53 | 0.87 | 182 | 28 | 0 | 2d ago |
| Batter | AVG | HR | RBI | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jackson Chourio LF | .291 | 25 | 75 | .838 |
| 2 | Brice Turang 2B | .268 | 21 | 100 | .816 |
| 3 | William Contreras C | .270 | 18 | 94 | .758 |
| 4 | Gary Sánchez DH | .209 | 12 | 38 | .771 |
| 5 | Jake Bauers 1B | .266 | 26 | 86 | .873 |
| 6 | Luis Lara RF | .246 | 1 | 26 | .636 |
| 7 | Cooper Pratt SS | .281 | 3 | 34 | .718 |
| 8 | Garrett Mitchell CF | .262 | 11 | 65 | .770 |
| 9 | Joey Ortiz 3B | .270 | 9 | 47 | .730 |
| Batter | AVG | HR | RBI | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mookie Betts SS | .257 | 23 | 69 | .780 |
| 2 | Freddie Freeman 1B | .288 | 16 | 70 | .792 |
| 3 | Teoscar Hernández LF | .267 | 16 | 64 | .759 |
| 4 | Will Smith C | .260 | 10 | 34 | .781 |
| 5 | Shohei Ohtani DH | .275 | 30 | 81 | .889 |
| 6 | Kyle Tucker RF | .233 | 17 | 70 | .715 |
| 7 | Andy Pages CF | .274 | 23 | 85 | .811 |
| 8 | Miguel Rojas 3B | .267 | 4 | 23 | .703 |
| 9 | Tommy Edman 2B | .247 | 8 | 42 | .714 |