12-7, 2.72 ERA
16-5, 1.80 ERA
| Model fair | DraftKings | Polymarket | Kalshi | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD ML | +118 | -107 | +106 | +102 |
| MIL ML | -118 | -113 | -106 | -102 |
| MIL +1.5 | -179 | -204 | — | — |
| Model | Model fair | Kalshi | Kalshi odds | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD leads | 37.1% | +169 | 37.5% | +167 | -0.4pp |
| Tied | 16.4% | +509 | 21.0% | +376 | -4.6pp |
| MIL leads | 46.5% | +115 | 41.5% | +141 | +5.0pp |
Why the Brewers. The edge on the mound belongs to the Brewers: Jacob Misiorowski (1.80 ERA, 0.80 WHIP, 252 K) has been the better arm than Tarik Skubal (2.72 ERA, 0.96 WHIP). Over the full body of work, the Brewers (103-59) grade out as the stronger club than the Dodgers (100-62). The Brewers' lineup sets up well for this matchup, with its contact and plate discipline playing up tonight.
The case for the Dodgers. The late innings tilt toward the Dodgers, whose available relievers carry a 3.32 ERA against 3.52 for the Brewers. The Dodgers' relievers have the right stuff for this Brewers lineup — the pitch-mix matchup runs their way late.
Notes. Los Angeles Dodgers note — Tarik Skubal: Skubal will start Game 1 of the NLCS against the Brewers on Sunday, Jack Harris of the California Post reports. Milwaukee Brewers note — Jacob Misiorowski: Misiorowski will start Game 1 of the NLCS against the Dodgers on Sunday.
| Pitcher | ERA | WHIP | SO | G | SV | Last pitched |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Vesia | 2.64 | 1.07 | 74 | 72 | 3 | 14d ago |
| Brock Stewart | 2.70 | 1.01 | 25 | 28 | 1 | 15d ago |
| Evan Phillips | 3.46 | 1.08 | 33 | 31 | 1 | 14d ago |
| Edgardo Henriquez | 2.85 | 1.03 | 71 | 61 | 2 | 28d ago |
| Tanner Scott | 2.69 | 0.99 | 82 | 69 | 25 | 15d ago |
| Edwin Díaz | 8.68 | 1.98 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 14d ago |
| Kris Bubic | 3.76 | 1.20 | 56 | 14 | 0 | 15d ago |
| Roki Sasaki | 4.49 | 1.32 | 123 | 26 | 0 | 14d ago |
| Blake Snell | 1.90 | 1.10 | 55 | 9 | 0 | 15d ago |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 2.53 | 0.87 | 182 | 28 | 0 | 17d ago |
| Tyler Glasnow | 3.53 | 0.95 | 98 | 13 | 0 | 16d ago |
| Justin Wrobleski | 3.66 | 1.14 | 118 | 28 | 0 | 14d ago |
| Pitcher | ERA | WHIP | SO | G | SV | Last pitched |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JoJo Romero | 3.36 | 1.22 | 54 | 55 | 0 | 15d ago |
| Antonio Senzatela | 4.05 | 1.35 | 60 | 57 | 4 | 15d ago |
| Abner Uribe | 1.97 | 1.03 | 62 | 61 | 6 | 16d ago |
| DL Hall | 1.91 | 1.04 | 64 | 47 | 0 | 14d ago |
| Trevor Megill | 2.63 | 0.89 | 69 | 63 | 30 | 16d ago |
| Aaron Ashby | 3.12 | 1.31 | 116 | 75 | 4 | 15d ago |
| Chad Patrick | 3.40 | 1.24 | 93 | 57 | 6 | 14d ago |
| Kyle Harrison | 4.20 | 1.35 | 141 | 28 | 0 | 15d ago |
| Shane Drohan | 4.19 | 1.32 | 125 | 33 | 2 | 14d ago |
| Dustin May | 4.70 | 1.32 | 144 | 31 | 0 | 15d ago |
| Logan Henderson | 2.47 | 0.84 | 110 | 18 | 0 | 18d ago |
| Robert Gasser | 3.87 | 1.19 | 103 | 21 | 0 | 16d ago |
| Batter | AVG | HR | RBI | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shohei Ohtani DH | .275 | 30 | 81 | .889 |
| 2 | Mookie Betts SS | .257 | 23 | 69 | .780 |
| 3 | Freddie Freeman 1B | .288 | 16 | 70 | .792 |
| 4 | Will Smith C | .260 | 10 | 34 | .781 |
| 5 | Max Muncy 3B | .252 | 29 | 76 | .838 |
| 6 | Kyle Tucker RF | .233 | 17 | 70 | .715 |
| 7 | Enrique Hernández 2B | .222 | 4 | 12 | .671 |
| 8 | Andy Pages CF | .274 | 23 | 85 | .811 |
| 9 | Tommy Edman 2B | .247 | 8 | 42 | .714 |
| Batter | AVG | HR | RBI | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jackson Chourio LF | .291 | 25 | 75 | .838 |
| 2 | Brice Turang 2B | .268 | 21 | 100 | .816 |
| 3 | William Contreras C | .270 | 18 | 94 | .758 |
| 4 | Gary Sánchez DH | .209 | 12 | 38 | .771 |
| 5 | Jake Bauers 1B | .266 | 26 | 86 | .873 |
| 6 | Luis Lara RF | .246 | 1 | 26 | .636 |
| 7 | Cooper Pratt SS | .281 | 3 | 34 | .718 |
| 8 | Garrett Mitchell CF | .262 | 11 | 65 | .770 |
| 9 | Joey Ortiz 3B | .270 | 9 | 47 | .730 |