MLB Slate — October 7, 2026

3:00 PM CT

ALDS 'B' Game 3

Rate Field

Cleveland Guardians

85-77

Daniel Espino
0-0, 4.11 ERA

@

Chicago White Sox

84-78

Sean Newcomb
2-5, 3.09 ERA

CLE 46.6%

CHW 53.4%

Projected margin

CHW -0.0 · CLE +0.0

Model fair odds

CLE +114 · CHW -114

Model Suggests Lean · 53.4%

Moneyline (Kalshi): Cleveland Guardians (KA +115) — model 46.6% vs. devigged market 46.5% (+0.1pp edge)

Model vs. Market DraftKings, Polymarket, Kalshi · current line

	Model fair	DraftKings	Polymarket	Kalshi
CLE ML	+114	+105	+115	+115
CHW ML	-114	-126	-115	-115
CHW -1.5	+172	+164	—	—

First 5 innings Kalshi · current line · devigged · model projects CHW +0.3 thru 5

	Model	Model fair	Kalshi	Kalshi odds	Edge
CLE leads	41.1%	+144	38.5%	+160	+2.6pp
Tied	15.6%	+541	16.0%	+525	-0.4pp
CHW leads	43.3%	+131	45.5%	+120	-2.2pp

69°F wind 8 mph

CLE Confirmed CHW Confirmed

Tonight’s Take

Why the White Sox. Sean Newcomb's arsenal plays well against how this Guardians lineup has handled similar pitch mixes.

The case for the Guardians. The Guardians' lineup sets up well for this matchup, with its contact and plate discipline playing up tonight. Over the full body of work, the Guardians (85-77) grade out as the stronger club than the White Sox (84-78).

Notes. Cleveland Guardians note — Daniel Espino: Espino will be the Guardians' opener Wednesday in Game 3 of the ALDS against the White Sox, Tim Stebbins of MLB.com reports. Chicago White Sox note — Andrew Benintendi: Benintendi is absent from the lineup Wednesday for Game 3 of the ALDS against the Guardians. Cleveland Guardians are going with a bullpen game: Foster Griffin is lined up for the bulk innings behind opener Daniel Espino, so the relief matchup matters more than usual here. Chicago White Sox are going with a bullpen game: Davis Martin is lined up for the bulk innings behind opener Sean Newcomb, so the relief matchup matters more than usual here.

Defensive alignment

9 of 9 positions confirmed

Full lineups & bullpens

CLE bullpen

Pitcher	ERA	WHIP	SO	G	SV	Last pitched
Tim Herrin	3.02	1.31	54	67	0	11d ago
Matt Festa	3.78	1.31	69	66	1	11d ago
Erik Sabrowski	2.61	1.18	76	60	1	11d ago
Shawn Armstrong	4.58	1.39	34	41	0	10d ago
Hunter Gaddis	2.98	1.28	57	68	1	11d ago
Cade Smith	1.95	0.96	107	69	41	10d ago
Joey Cantillo	3.62	1.42	171	33	0	12d ago
Foster Griffin BULK	3.60	1.21	158	31	0	13d ago
Tanner Bibee	4.36	1.22	148	33	0	10d ago
Parker Messick	2.56	1.06	193	32	0	10d ago
Gavin Williams	3.76	1.11	248	32	0	11d ago

CHW bullpen

Pitcher	ERA	WHIP	SO	G	SV	Last pitched
Jordan Hicks	3.94	1.54	64	53	1	10d ago
Tyler Davis	3.66	1.16	27	31	1	10d ago
Bryan Hudson	3.74	1.28	59	70	8	10d ago
Erick Fedde	3.83	1.35	99	33	0	13d ago
Hagen Smith	1.29	0.96	41	18	0	11d ago
Grant Taylor	2.25	1.07	106	60	10	11d ago
Noah Schultz	5.57	1.33	67	19	0	10d ago
David Sandlin	5.58	1.21	40	8	0	13d ago
Davis Martin BULK	3.95	1.32	122	29	0	10d ago
Anthony Kay	4.44	1.37	129	33	0	10d ago
Sean Burke	3.34	1.20	185	32	0	11d ago

CLE (away)

Confirmed · today's official lineup

	Batter	AVG	HR	RBI	OPS
1	Steven Kwan CF	.282	3	32	.731
2	José Ramírez 3B	.235	12	53	.688
3	Chase DeLauter RF	.287	16	67	.820
4	Jo Adell DH	.240	23	94	.699
5	Nathaniel Lowe 1B	.252	17	64	.761
6	Angel Martínez LF	.254	18	62	.755
7	Travis Bazzana 2B	.245	15	57	.743
8	Patrick Bailey C	.206	10	37	.607
9	Brayan Rocchio SS	.253	15	73	.704

CHW (home)

Confirmed · today's official lineup

	Batter	AVG	HR	RBI	OPS
1	Sam Antonacci DH	.277	8	48	.766
2	Miguel Vargas 3B	.250	33	93	.837
3	Munetaka Murakami 1B	.207	35	77	.825
4	Kyle Teel C	.210	5	26	.697
5	Chase Meidroth 2B	.276	16	63	.765
6	Tristan Peters CF	.265	12	56	.774
7	Braden Montgomery RF	.226	6	38	.662
8	Randal Grichuk LF	.287	15	46	.880
9	Colson Montgomery SS	.197	31	87	.685

5:00 PM CT

NLDS 'B' Game 4

Truist Park

Los Angeles Dodgers

100-62

Tyler Glasnow
5-2, 3.53 ERA

@

Atlanta Braves

94-68

Tyler Mahle
7-10, 3.99 ERA

LAD 57.8%

ATL 42.2%

Projected margin

LAD -1.3 · ATL +1.3

Model fair odds

LAD -137 · ATL +137

Model Suggests Moderate · 57.8%

Moneyline (Kalshi): Los Angeles Dodgers (KA -135) — model 57.8% vs. devigged market 57.5% (+0.3pp edge)

Model vs. Market DraftKings, Polymarket, Kalshi · current line

	Model fair	DraftKings	Polymarket	Kalshi
LAD ML	-137	-156	-141	-135
ATL ML	+137	+129	+141	+135
ATL +1.5	-106	-137	—	—

First 5 innings Kalshi · current line · devigged · model projects LAD +0.7 thru 5

	Model	Model fair	Kalshi	Kalshi odds	Edge
LAD leads	49.3%	+103	48.3%	+107	+1.0pp
Tied	14.7%	+581	17.1%	+486	-2.4pp
ATL leads	36.0%	+178	34.6%	+189	+1.4pp

77°F wind 6 mph

LAD Confirmed ATL Projected

Tonight’s Take

Why the Dodgers. The Dodgers' relievers have the right stuff for this Braves lineup — the pitch-mix matchup runs their way late. Over the full body of work, the Dodgers (100-62) grade out as the stronger club than the Braves (94-68). How the two bullpens line up tonight favors the Dodgers, with the arms they're likely to use in good shape.

Notes. Los Angeles Dodgers note — Tommy Edman: Edman is not in the lineup Wednesday for Game 4 of the NLDS versus Atlanta. Atlanta Braves note — Chris Sale: Sale was charged with the loss in Game 3 of the NLDS against the Dodgers on Tuesday, striking out seven and allowing three runs on seven hits and no walks over five innings. Shohei Ohtani is running cold over his last 10 games, batting .184 — .252 wOBA vs. a .401 season mark. Matt Olson is running cold over his last 10 games, batting .143 — .188 wOBA vs. a .389 season mark.

Defensive alignment

9 of 9 positions confirmed

Full lineups & bullpens

LAD bullpen

Pitcher	ERA	WHIP	SO	G	SV	Last pitched
Alex Vesia	2.64	1.07	74	72	3	10d ago
Edgardo Henriquez	2.85	1.03	71	61	2	24d ago
Brock Stewart	2.70	1.01	25	28	1	11d ago
Evan Phillips	3.46	1.08	33	31	1	10d ago
Kris Bubic	3.76	1.20	56	14	0	11d ago
Roki Sasaki	4.49	1.32	123	26	0	10d ago
Tanner Scott	2.69	0.99	82	69	25	11d ago
Edwin Díaz	8.68	1.98	28	21	7	10d ago
Blake Snell	1.90	1.10	55	9	0	11d ago
Tarik Skubal	2.72	0.96	186	26	0	11d ago
Yoshinobu Yamamoto	2.53	0.87	182	28	0	13d ago

ATL bullpen

Pitcher	ERA	WHIP	SO	G	SV	Last pitched
Victor Mederos	3.41	1.19	34	30	1	11d ago
Robert Suarez	1.06	0.88	26	33	4	11d ago
Grant Holmes	3.44	1.31	115	31	0	11d ago
AJ Smith-Shawver	6.61	1.53	27	9	0	10d ago
Didier Fuentes	2.45	1.10	92	58	3	11d ago
JR Ritchie	4.91	1.47	68	17	1	10d ago
Dylan Lee	3.09	0.97	77	71	0	11d ago
Raisel Iglesias	2.55	1.08	64	59	34	11d ago
Dylan Dodd	2.54	0.91	53	48	2	11d ago
Brent Suter	3.36	1.22	78	54	0	11d ago
Ray Kerr	1.47	0.60	11	9	0	11d ago
Chris Sale	2.16	0.98	200	27	0	13d ago

LAD (away)

Confirmed · today's official lineup

	Batter	AVG	HR	RBI	OPS
1	Mookie Betts SS	.257	23	69	.780
2	Freddie Freeman 1B	.288	16	70	.792
3	Will Smith C	.260	10	34	.781
4	Shohei Ohtani DH	.275	30	81	.889
5	Teoscar Hernández LF	.267	16	64	.759
6	Max Muncy 3B	.252	29	76	.838
7	Enrique Hernández 2B	.222	4	12	.671
8	Kyle Tucker RF	.233	17	70	.715
9	Andy Pages CF	.274	23	85	.811

ATL (home)

Projected · most recent complete lineup

	Batter	AVG	HR	RBI	OPS
1	Drake Baldwin DH	.284	25	79	.817
2	Ronald Acuña Jr. RF	.255	20	55	.796
3	Matt Olson 1B	.251	41	93	.823
4	Ozzie Albies 2B	.237	22	73	.685
5	Michael Harris II CF	.294	26	87	.812
6	Mauricio Dubón SS	.276	12	73	.720
7	Mike Yastrzemski LF	.224	12	41	.689
8	Austin Riley 3B	.219	19	72	.654
9	Sean Murphy C	.182	3	10	.556

7:00 PM CT

ALDS 'A' Game 3

Yankee Stadium

Tampa Bay Rays

98-64

Nick Martinez
15-6, 3.10 ERA

@

New York Yankees

93-68

Max Fried
5-5, 2.80 ERA

TB 43.2%

NYY 56.8%

Projected margin

NYY -0.4 · TB +0.4

Model fair odds

TB +131 · NYY -131

Model Suggests Moderate · 56.8%

Moneyline (Kalshi): Tampa Bay Rays (KA +153) — model 43.2% vs. devigged market 39.5% (+3.7pp edge)

Model vs. Market DraftKings, Polymarket, Kalshi · current line

	Model fair	DraftKings	Polymarket	Kalshi
TB ML	+131	+142	+153	+153
NYY ML	-131	-172	-153	-153
NYY -1.5	+148	+130	—	—

First 5 innings Kalshi · current line · devigged · model projects NYY +0.9 thru 5

	Model	Model fair	Kalshi	Kalshi odds	Edge
TB leads	31.0%	+223	32.7%	+206	-1.7pp
Tied	16.6%	+502	16.6%	+503	+0.0pp
NYY leads	52.4%	-110	50.8%	-103	+1.7pp

58°F wind 5 mph

TB Projected NYY Projected

Tonight’s Take

Why the Yankees. Max Fried's arsenal plays well against how this Rays lineup has handled similar pitch mixes. Over the full body of work, the Yankees (93-68) grade out as the stronger club than the Rays (98-64). The edge on the mound belongs to the Yankees: Max Fried (2.80 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 104 K) has been the better arm than Nick Martinez (3.10 ERA, 1.09 WHIP).

The case for the Rays. How the two bullpens line up tonight favors the Rays, with the arms they're likely to use in good shape. The Rays come in playing the better recent baseball, on both sides of the ball.

Notes. Junior Caminero is running cold over his last 10 games, batting .265 — .325 wOBA vs. a .414 season mark. Ryan Vilade is running cold over his last 10 games, batting .133 — .294 wOBA vs. a .416 season mark. Luis García Jr. is running cold over his last 10 games, batting .171 — .214 wOBA vs. a .375 season mark. Spencer Jones is running cold over his last 10 games, batting .184 — .246 wOBA vs. a .391 season mark.

Defensive alignment

9 of 9 positions confirmed

Full lineups & bullpens

TB bullpen

Pitcher	ERA	WHIP	SO	G	SV	Last pitched
Kevin Kelly	2.44	0.90	63	71	4	12d ago
Cole Sulser	4.31	1.24	56	51	3	11d ago
Cam Booser	1.98	0.76	45	42	0	11d ago
Tyler Wells	2.38	0.90	72	57	6	25d ago
Steven Matz	5.49	1.23	61	36	1	11d ago
Garrett Cleavinger	4.79	1.43	54	51	2	32d ago
Bryan Baker	1.44	0.91	63	65	41	12d ago
Griffin Jax	3.53	1.18	116	34	0	11d ago
Ian Seymour	4.21	1.13	158	47	2	10d ago
Freddy Peralta	4.42	1.33	156	32	0	12d ago
Drew Rasmussen	2.67	0.91	174	30	0	15d ago

NYY bullpen

Pitcher	ERA	WHIP	SO	G	SV	Last pitched
John Schreiber	3.28	1.24	40	66	2	12d ago
Paul Blackburn	1.59	1.08	69	62	1	12d ago
Brent Headrick	2.18	1.21	98	81	0	12d ago
David Bednar	2.47	1.04	76	64	35	12d ago
Ryan Yarbrough	3.69	1.22	49	38	3	12d ago
Ryan Weathers	3.60	1.22	143	25	0	46d ago
Will Warren	3.92	1.37	158	32	0	12d ago
Carlos Rodón	2.67	1.06	91	16	0	15d ago
Gerrit Cole	3.61	1.10	131	22	0	14d ago
Cam Schlittler	1.95	0.92	239	33	0	13d ago

TB (away)

Projected · most recent complete lineup

	Batter	AVG	HR	RBI	OPS
1	Yandy Díaz DH	.293	22	85	.805
2	Jonathan Aranda 1B	.274	22	92	.792
3	Junior Caminero 3B	.276	42	101	.884
4	Ryan Vilade RF	.245	11	43	.750
5	Jonny DeLuca CF	.266	11	50	.729
6	Chandler Simpson LF	.306	0	38	.689
7	Nick Fortes C	.258	6	35	.680
8	Jorge Mateo 2B	.203	5	18	.559
9	Taylor Walls SS	.222	2	36	.607

NYY (home)

Projected · most recent complete lineup

	Batter	AVG	HR	RBI	OPS
1	Ben Rice DH	.264	41	97	.897
2	Cody Bellinger LF	.264	17	73	.767
3	Luis García Jr. 1B	.277	30	92	.830
4	Spencer Jones RF	.245	11	40	.742
5	George Lombard Jr. SS	.237	7	22	.699
6	Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B	.231	19	55	.711
7	Trent Grisham CF	.211	18	59	.703
8	Austin Wells C	.186	14	32	.624
9	Ryan McMahon 3B	.213	11	41	.636

9:00 PM CT

NLDS 'A' Game 4

Petco Park

Milwaukee Brewers

103-59

Robert Gasser (Projected)
5-5, 3.87 ERA

@

San Diego Padres

91-71

Walker Buehler
9-6, 4.63 ERA

MIL 50.7%

SD 49.3%

Projected margin

MIL -0.5 · SD +0.5

Model fair odds

MIL -103 · SD +103

Model Suggests Lean · 50.7%

Moneyline (Kalshi): Milwaukee Brewers (KA +102) — model 50.7% vs. devigged market 49.5% (+1.2pp edge)

Model vs. Market DraftKings, Polymarket, Kalshi · current line

	Model fair	DraftKings	Polymarket	Kalshi
MIL ML	-103	-107	+102	+102
SD ML	+103	-112	-102	-102
SD +1.5	-145	-193	—	—

First 5 innings Kalshi · current line · devigged · model projects MIL +0.0 thru 5

	Model	Model fair	Kalshi	Kalshi odds	Edge
MIL leads	42.6%	+135	43.7%	+129	-1.1pp
Tied	15.7%	+538	15.6%	+542	+0.1pp
SD leads	41.7%	+140	40.7%	+146	+1.0pp

79°F wind 4 mph

MIL Projected SD Projected

Tonight’s Take

Why the Brewers. Over the full body of work, the Brewers (103-59) grade out as the stronger club than the Padres (91-71). The edge on the mound belongs to the Brewers: Robert Gasser (3.87 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 103 K) has been the better arm than Walker Buehler (4.63 ERA, 1.35 WHIP). The Brewers come in playing the better recent baseball, on both sides of the ball.

The case for the Padres. The Padres' relievers have the right stuff for this Brewers lineup — the pitch-mix matchup runs their way late. The late innings tilt toward the Padres, whose available relievers carry a 3.06 ERA against 3.23 for the Brewers.

Notes. Milwaukee Brewers note — Robert Gasser: Gasser will start for the Brewers on Wednesday in Game 4 of the NLDS against the Padres, Sophia Minnaert of Brewers.tv reports. San Diego Padres note — Walker Buehler: Buehler will be the Padres' starting pitcher for Game 4 of the NLDS versus the Brewers on Wednesday. Jake Bauers is running cold over his last 10 games, batting .216 — .265 wOBA vs. a .442 season mark. Manny Machado is running hot over his last 10 games, batting .286 — .402 wOBA vs. a .341 season mark. Ty France is running cold over his last 10 games, batting .289 — .320 wOBA vs. a .422 season mark.

Defensive alignment

9 of 9 positions confirmed

Full lineups & bullpens

MIL bullpen

Pitcher	ERA	WHIP	SO	G	SV	Last pitched
Aaron Ashby	3.12	1.31	116	75	4	11d ago
Chad Patrick	3.40	1.24	93	57	6	10d ago
Trevor Megill	2.63	0.89	69	63	30	12d ago
Kyle Harrison	4.20	1.35	141	28	0	11d ago
Shane Drohan	4.19	1.32	125	33	2	10d ago
Antonio Senzatela	4.05	1.35	60	57	4	11d ago
Abner Uribe	1.97	1.03	62	61	6	12d ago
JoJo Romero	3.36	1.22	54	55	0	11d ago
DL Hall	1.91	1.04	64	47	0	10d ago
Jacob Misiorowski	1.80	0.80	252	30	0	10d ago
Logan Henderson	2.47	0.84	110	18	0	14d ago
Dustin May	4.70	1.32	144	31	0	11d ago

SD bullpen

Pitcher	ERA	WHIP	SO	G	SV	Last pitched
David Morgan	3.78	1.77	39	32	0	11d ago
Adrian Morejon	2.83	1.08	107	76	3	11d ago
Wandy Peralta	3.61	1.32	50	65	0	12d ago
Joe Musgrove						740d ago
Jason Adam	2.62	1.17	22	38	2	12d ago
Yuki Matsui	1.83	1.14	68	54	1	11d ago
Bradgley Rodriguez	2.19	1.07	81	68	2	11d ago
Robbie Ray	3.59	1.35	140	31	0	13d ago
Michael King	3.21	1.18	159	32	0	14d ago
Nick Pivetta	2.86	1.01	42	8	0	12d ago

MIL (away)

Projected · most recent complete lineup

	Batter	AVG	HR	RBI	OPS
1	Jackson Chourio LF	.291	25	75	.838
2	Brice Turang 2B	.268	21	100	.816
3	Jake Bauers 1B	.266	26	86	.873
4	William Contreras C	.270	18	94	.758
5	Garrett Mitchell CF	.262	11	65	.770
6	Christian Yelich DH	.235	12	59	.693
7	Cooper Pratt SS	.281	3	34	.718
8	Luis Lara RF	.246	1	26	.636
9	Joey Ortiz 3B	.270	9	47	.730

SD (home)

Projected · most recent complete lineup

	Batter	AVG	HR	RBI	OPS
1	Fernando Tatis Jr. RF	.289	25	83	.828
2	Austin Hays DH	.280	3	15	.705
3	Manny Machado 3B	.217	30	91	.710
4	Ty France 1B	.295	21	72	.865
5	Jackson Merrill CF	.254	26	87	.743
6	Xander Bogaerts SS	.231	13	57	.676
7	Luis Campusano C	.265	8	30	.796
8	Samad Taylor LF	.316	2	18	.798
9	Jake Cronenworth 2B	.225	7	41	.629

Tonight's Slate