Tonight's Slate

Why the Braves. The late innings tilt toward the Braves, whose available relievers carry a 2.97 ERA against 3.56 for the Phillies.

The case for the Phillies. The Phillies' lineup sets up well for this matchup, with its contact and plate discipline playing up tonight. Don't read too much into the surface numbers on the mound — Aaron Nola (4.67 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 177 K) has a better underlying profile than his ERA suggests, and we like him more than Ray Kerr (1.47 ERA, 0.60 WHIP) tonight.

Notes. Philadelphia Phillies note — Aaron Nola: Nola will start Thursday in Game 3 of the wild-card series in Atlanta, Matt Gelb of The Athletic reports. Atlanta Braves note — Ray Kerr: Kerr will be Atlanta's opener Thursday in Game 3 of the wild-card series versus the Phillies. Bryce Harper is running cold over his last 10 games, batting .220 — .290 wOBA vs. a .397 season mark. Matt Olson is running cold over his last 10 games, batting .194 — .211 wOBA vs. a .391 season mark. Atlanta Braves are going with a bullpen game: Grant Holmes is lined up for the bulk innings behind opener Ray Kerr, so the relief matchup matters more than usual here.